Security Overview for Ethiopia

Ethiopia is going through political turmoil. The ruling Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) is facing numerous opposition groups and insurgencies in the countryside. Following the highly disputed 2005 general elections, members of the umbrella opposition Coalition for Unity and Democracy (CUD) organized anti-government protests in Addis Ababa. Authorities met protests with excessive force. An estimated 86 people were killed during the violence and 131 opposition leaders were arrested on charges of terrorism and attempts to overthrow the government.

The regime's response to the protests deepened mistrust and political and social divisions. Sporadic demonstrations at high schools and universities occur frequently and in March 2006 three bombs exploded in a crowded area of the capital.

Outside of the capital, the biggest threat to travelers is ongoing insurgencies in the north, a separate insurgency in the southeastern region of Ogaden, ethnic tensions in the southwestern region of Gambella, a longstanding rebellion in Oromia on the border with Sudan, and tensions on the Eritrean border.

In the north, the government is facing the Ethiopian People's Patriotic Front (EPPF) rebels, a small group that mainly operates in the Bedew area. In March 2006, the EPPF released a statement indicating that it had launched an attack on government forces in Bedew killing 119 soldiers and wounding several others.

In the last three years, tensions between Ethiopia and Eritrea have increased after Ethiopia rejected an international boundary commission ruling demarcating their borders. Both Ethiopia and Eritrea have been building their military capacity as they prepare for a possible war.

In Ogaden, a southeastern region of Ethiopia inhabited exclusively by ethnic Somalis, the federal government is facing the Ogaden National Liberation Front (ONLF) fighting for independence. The movement was created in 1984 and has since been launching attacks in the region. The latest attacks came on 22 April, 2005 in Shilabo, 932 miles from the capital Addis Ababa, where the Ethiopian National Defense Forces (ENDF) killed 32 insurgents.

In the southwestern Gambella region, ethnic tensions are pitching the ethnic Anuak against the Habasha and the Nuer ethnic groups over a longstanding land dispute. The Anuak, who are the original inhabitants, have found themselves a minority after waves of immigration from the ethnic Nuer from Sudan and a forced resettlement in 1980s by the federal government of highlanders in the 1980s. Ethnic Anuak fighters grouped in the Gambella People Liberation Front (GPLF) based in Southern Sudan have been raiding Highlanders and Nuer villages hoping to force them out of what they consider to be their land. They have also engaged in sporadic fighting with the Ethiopian National Defense Forces, causing a violent retaliation against the Anuak in Gambella.

In the Oromia region, the government is dealing with the Sudan-based Oromo Liberation Front (OLF) fighting for self-determination. The OLF has infiltrated many of its fighters in the region and the capital in order to force the federal government to negotiate.

The crime rate in urban areas is relatively low. Incidents of petty crimes, such as pickpocketing and purse snatching, are on the rise, though remain low by sub-Saharan Africa levels. The quality of police service varies from region to region, with the best security in Addis Ababa's hotel district, around national monuments, at Aviator's Circle and at the airport. To reduce vulnerability, travel in groups, avoid walking at night, carry small amounts of cash and follow common-sense security precautions.

Avoid using public transportation; it is unreliable and is not secure. It is also best to avoid shared taxi services. Whenever possible, drive a rented vehicle or a taxi arranged by your host or hotel.

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How we determine a country's overall security rating

Each country's current overall risk rating is determined by considering categorical assessments in kidnapping, crime, security services, civil unrest, terrorism and geopolitical stability.

Minimal Threat

Most countries in this category have a stable political infrastructure and economic system with a low rate of unemployment. These countries have overall low rates of crime. Violent crime is almost non-existent. Petty crimes do occur, but are usually limited to petty theft and pick pocketing. Police and military services are trained and trustworthy, but may lack investigative and crime fighting equipment and skills. Strikes and demonstrations are rare and if they occur are usually well planned and managed and rarely spurn violent incidents. There are no known insurgent or terrorist groups.

Low Threat

Most countries in this category will have a stable political infrastructure and economic system with some unemployment. These countries have low crime rates. Violent crimes are rare and usually involve associated persons. Petty crimes such as theft and pick pocketing are a concern and travelers may be directly targeted. Risks can usually be mitigated with simple security measures. Police and military services are well trained and trustworthy but may lack adequate investigative equipment. Incidents of civil unrest such as strikes and demonstrations may disrupt daily life, but are usually non-violent and well coordinated. These countries may experience rare instances of domestic terrorist activity but are not threatened by international terrorism. Anti-government groups may be present but have little or no impact.

Moderate Threat

Most countries in this category will have a somewhat stable political infrastructure and economic system but unemployment and rising inflation cause some instability. These countries have moderate levels of crime. Violent crimes such as sexual assault and murder occur, but few are random incidents. Petty crimes, especially theft or destruction of unattended property, are common. Incidents of armed assault also occur. More threatening crimes are usually limited to urban areas or certain parts of the country. Police and military services may suffer from corruption and lack of training, but are generally adequate for investigations. Strikes and demonstrations can disrupt daily life and may easily spur violence. This country may have a variety of anti-government and domestic terrorist groups that are organized and outspoken against the government and may conduct incidents of violence. Small cells of international terrorist organizations exist but incidents of terrorism are not common.

High Threat

Most countries in the category have unstable political infrastructure and economic system with high rates of unemployment and inflation. Violent and petty crimes are common in most areas and random acts of violence do occur. Some areas may have a general state of lawlessness. Traveling alone, especially at night, should be avoided. There will be a large infiltration of arms in the population. Police and military services lack training and equipment. Both institutions are prone to corruption. Strikes and demonstrations are common and usually violent. Domestic terrorist and insurgent groups are active and well organized. They conduct bombings and other violent acts against government, local and international interests. International terrorist groups exist and may conduct activities within the country and abroad. The country may be involved in cross border warfare.

Extreme Threat

Most countries in this category lack a political infrastructure with any democratic premise and have a high rate of corruption. The economy is unstable with a high rate of unemployment. There is a very high rate of violent and petty crime. A general state of lawlessness exists in most urban and remote areas. Overland travel through the country must be avoided. Many domestic terrorist or rebel groups exist and are frequently active; areas of the country may be controlled by rebel factions. International terrorist operations may be well organized and active. Anti- government actions and large demonstrations are common and violent. Cross border and internal warfare occur.